COVID-19 death data in England – Update 9th April

April 9, 2020

Jason Oke, Carl Heneghan

NHS England releases data at 2 pm each day and reports daily counts up to the previous day as well as a total figure. We wrote about the problems with reconciling the different data here:

Today’s figure is 765 deaths in hospitals in England 

These deaths are distributed across the following  days:

Figure  2 shows the updated counts by date of death in England 

Summary  

Daily reports generally add more to the previous two days  (up to a maximum 300 deaths), and can add back to the previous week’s counts (the grey shaded area in figure  2). We consider the data is now flatlining consistent with hitting the peak.*

*Inaccuracies in the data can give rise to considerable uncertainties.  

See also  

8th April – Reconciling COVID-19 death rate in the UK

Tracking mortality over time

Assessment of Mortality in the Covid-19 outbreak

AUTHORS

Jason Oke is a Senior Statistician at the Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences and Module Coordinator for Statistical Computing with R and Stata (EBHC Med Stats), and Introduction to Statistics for Health Care Research (EBHC), as part of the Evidence-Based Health Care Programme.

Carl Heneghan is Professor of Evidence-Based Medicine, Director of the Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine and Director of Studies for the Evidence-Based Health Care Programme. (Full bio and disclosure statement here)

Disclaimer:  the article has not been peer-reviewed; it should not replace individual clinical judgement, and the sources cited should be checked. The views expressed in this commentary represent the views of the authors and not necessarily those of the host institution, the NHS, the NIHR, or the Department of Health and Social Care. The views are not a substitute for professional medical advice.